Projects 5
Publications 44
Awards 6

Contact Details

Senior Lecturer, Biostatistics
    Senior Lecturer

    Biography

    I am a Senior Lecturer in Biostatistics in Public Health and Tropical Medicine at James Cook University and an applied mathematician specialising in infectious-disease modelling, phylodynamics and statistical inference. My research develops mathematical, statistical and computational methods for understanding pathogen transmission, reconstructing hidden epidemic dynamics and translating complex epidemiological and genomic data into evidence for public-health decision-making.

    My research program spans emerging infections, vaccine-preventable diseases, tuberculosis, antimicrobial resistance and pathogens affecting commercial aquaculture. It has been supported by an Australian Research Council Discovery Early Career Researcher Award and commissioned projects for the World Health Organization. My modelling has contributed to Australian vaccination policy and supported decision-making by government, community and international health organisations, including the Queensland Aboriginal and Islander Health Council and health ministries in the Asia-Pacific region.

    A major focus of my current work is developing genomic and phylodynamic methods that integrate pathogen sequence data with epidemiological surveillance. These methods aim to reconstruct unobserved transmission, distinguish sustained local spread from repeated importation, correct for incomplete or preferential sampling and improve the targeting of disease-control measures. This work includes the development of reproducible, open-source research software and new statistical methods for birth–death–sampling models, population reconstruction and outbreak inference.

    I establish and lead interdisciplinary collaborations connecting mathematical method development with epidemiology, genomic surveillance and public-health practice. My collaborators include researchers and health partners at the University of Oxford, Institut Pasteur, Monash University, CSIRO, the University of Queensland and organisations throughout the Asia-Pacific. I also develop quantitative capability through postgraduate supervision, researcher mentoring, statistical collaboration and applied training in infectious-disease modelling and research methods.

    I teach undergraduate research methods and postgraduate biostatistics, with an emphasis on making complex quantitative ideas accessible, professionally relevant and applicable across diverse health disciplines and learning contexts.

    Before moving into epidemiology and public health, I completed a PhD in theoretical astrophysics and cosmology at JCU, investigating dark matter in non-standard cosmological scenarios. This interdisciplinary background continues to shape my approach to mathematical modelling, computation and statistical inference.

    Research

    Research Interests

    Infectious-disease modelling — Mathematical and computational models of pathogen transmission, disease progression and intervention impact, with applications to tuberculosis, emerging infections, vaccine-preventable diseases, antimicrobial resistance and pathogens affecting commercial aquaculture.

    Genomic epidemiology and phylodynamics — Integration of pathogen genomic, epidemiological and surveillance data to reconstruct transmission histories, distinguish sustained local spread from repeated importation, quantify hidden transmission and support disease-control decisions.

    Statistical and computational methods — Bayesian inference, birth–death–sampling models, likelihood-based and simulation methods, parameter identifiability, preferential and incomplete sampling, population reconstruction and open-source software development.

    Quantitative public health and decision support — Translation of mathematical and statistical evidence into policy, surveillance and operational decision-making, including vaccine allocation, outbreak response, health-risk forecasting and evaluation of intervention strategies.

    Projects

    Research Collaborators and Partners

    Mahidol University
    Queensland Health
    University of Hawaii - Manoa
    Institut Pasteur
    LifeFlight Australia LImited
    CSIRO, Health and Biosecurity
    World Health Organisation (Switzerland)
    The University of New England
    Defence Science and Technology Group
    Menzies School of Health Research
    Queensland Aboriginal and Islander Health Council
    University of Melbourne
    The University of Sydney
    The University of Queensland
    Burnet Institute
    Monash University
    University of Oxford

    Teaching

    Teaching Interests

  • Statistics and biostatistics — Introductory, intermediate and advanced statistical theory and applications, including probability, estimation, hypothesis testing, regression, analysis of variance, generalised linear models, survival analysis, longitudinal and multilevel methods, Bayesian statistics, statistical modelling and interpretation of quantitative evidence.

    Research methods — Study design, research questions and hypotheses, sampling, measurement, bias and confounding, data management, critical appraisal, reproducibility, research integrity and the effective communication of quantitative findings, particularly within health and biomedical research.

    Programming and statistical computing — Reproducible data analysis, simulation, visualisation and statistical programming using R and related computational tools, with an emphasis on translating statistical concepts into transparent, efficient and reusable analytical workflows.

    Higher Degree Research training — Quantitative research design, statistical reasoning, computational methods, reproducible research, scientific writing and the development of independent research capability among HDR candidates and early-career researchers.

    Infectious-disease modelling — Mathematical and computational modelling of infectious-disease transmission, including compartmental models, stochastic simulation, parameter estimation, model calibration, uncertainty analysis and the interpretation of models for epidemiological and public-health decision-making.


  • Research Advisor Accreditation

    Advisor Type

    Primary


    Taught Modules

    Current JCU Research Students

    Genomic Modelling of Infectious Diseases in Commercial Aquaculture Settings
    Doctor of Philosophy (Health)

    Completed JCU Research Students

    Modeling the potential of introducing different Wolbachia–infected mosquitoes to control Aedes-borne arboviral infections
    Doctor of Philosophy (Medical and Molecular Sciences)- 2023
    Using mathematical models to develop tuberculosis control strategies in Bangladesh
    Doctor of Philosophy (Health)- 2021

    Available Projects

    Activities

    Outreach

    Consultancy

    Media

    Languages

    Committees

    Associations

    Other Activities

    Employment

    Awards

    Education

    Output

    Price, David J.; Shearer, Freya M.; Meehan, Michael; McBryde, Emma; Golding, Nick; McVernon, Jodie; Mccaw, James (2020) Estimating the case detection rate and temporal variation in transmission of COVID-19 in Australia: Technical Report 14th April 2020. Melbourne, VIC, Australia: [Report]
    Other Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Golding, Nick; Price, David J.; Shearer, Freya M.; Moss, Robert; Meehan, Michael T.; McBryde, Emma; McVernon, Jodie; Mccaw, James M. (2020) Estimating temporal variation in transmission of COVID-19 and adherence to social distancing measures in Australia: technical report 5th May 2020. Melbourne, VIC, Australia: [Report]
    Other Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Meehan, Michael Thomas (2015) Dark matter relic abundance in non-standard cosmological scenarios. [Thesis] [DOI]
    Other Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Ofori-Amponsah, Emmanuel; Andrade Martinez, Maria; Meehan, Michael T.; Condon, Kelly (2026) 'The phylogenetics and pathogen population dynamics of infectious hypodermal and hematopoietic necrosis virus (IHHNV) in global shrimp populations'. Aquaculture, 616 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Miranda-Hernandez, Socorro; Kumar, Manoharan; Henderson, Alec; Graham, Erin; Tan, Xiao; Taylor, Jim; Meehan, Michael; Ceja, Zuriel; Del Pozo Ramos, Lidia Maria; Pan, Yi; Tsui, Ellen; Donovan, Meg L.; Rentería, Miguel E.; Flores-Valdez, Mario Alberto; Blumenthal, Antje; Nguyen, Quan; Subbian, Selvakumar; Field, Matt; Kupz, Andreas (2026) 'CD8+ T cells sustain vaccination-induced immunity against dissemination of contained tuberculosis in immunosuppressed hosts'. Nature Communications, 17 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Ragonnet, Romain; Hughes, Angus E.; Shipman, David S.; Meehan, Michael T.; Henderson, Alec S.; Briffoteaux, Guillaume; Melab, Nouredine; Tuyttens, Daniel; McBryde, Emma S.; Trauer, James M. (2025) 'Estimating the impact of school closures on the COVID-19 dynamics in 74 countries: A modelling analysis'. PLoS Medicine, 22 (1). [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Trauer, James M.; Hughes, Angus E.; Shipman, David S.; Meehan, Michael T.; Henderson, Alec S.; McBryde, Emma S.; Ragonnet, Romain (2025) 'A data science pipeline applied to Australia's 2022 COVID-19 Omicron waves'. Infectious Disease Modelling, 10 (1):99-109. [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Crowe, Melissa J.; Meehan, Michael T.; Jones, Rhondda E. (2025) 'Comparison of Rectal and Gastrointestinal Core Temperatures During Heat Tolerance Testing'. Medicina, 61 (6). [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Henderson, Alec S.; Hickson, Roslyn I.; Furlong, Morgan; McBryde, Emma S.; Meehan, Michael T. (2024) 'Reproducibility of COVID-era infectious disease models'. Epidemics, 46 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Whittem, Vanessa; Meehan, Michael T.; Roetzel, Astrid; Nakai Kidd, Akari; Sadick, Abdul-Manan; Raphael, Jo; O'Mara, Joanne (2024) 'Bridging the gaps – A mixed methods approach to evaluating novel feedback surveys of children on school buildings'. Building and Environment, 266 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Bui, Viet Long; Hughes, Angus E.; Ragonnet, Romain; Meehan, Michael; Henderson, Alec; McBryde, Emma S.; Trauer, James M. (2024) 'Agent-based modelling of Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission: a systematic review'. BMC Infectious Diseases, 24 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Ogunlade, Samson T.; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; Meehan, Michael T.; McBryde, Emma S. (2023) 'Quantifying the impact of Wolbachia releases on dengue infection in Townsville, Australia'. Scientific Reports, 13 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Ogunlade, Samson T.; Meehan, Michael T.; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; McBryde, Emma S. (2023) 'A Systematic Review of Mathematical Models of Dengue Transmission and Vector Control: 2010–2020'. Viruses, 15 (1). [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Meehan, Michael T.; Hughes, Angus; Ragonnet, Romain R.; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; Trauer, James M.; Jayasundara, Pavithra; McBryde, Emma S.; Henderson, Alec S. (2023) 'Replicating superspreader dynamics with compartmental models'. Scientific Reports, 13 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Steinig, Eike; Aglua, Izzard; Duchene, Sebastian; Meehan, Michael T.; Yoannes, Mition; Firth, Cadhla; Jaworski, Jan; Drekore, Jimmy; Urakoko, Bohu; Poka, Harry; Wurr, Clive; Ebos, Eri; Nangen, David; Muller, Elke; Mulvey, Peter; Jackson, Charlene; Blomfeldt, Anita; Vangstein Aamot, Hege; Laman, Moses; Manning, Laurens; Earls, Megan; Coleman, David C.; Greenhill, Andrew; Ford, Rebecca; Stegger, Marc; Ali Syed, Muhammad; Jamil, Bushra; Monecke, Stefan; Ehricht, Ralf; Smith, Simon; Pomat, William; Horwood, Paul; Tong, Steven Y.C.; McBryde, Emma (2022) 'Phylodynamic signatures in the emergence of community-associated MRSA'. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 119 (45). [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Hughes, Angus; Ragonnet, Romain; Jayasundara, Pavithra; Ngo, Hoang Anh; de Lara-Tuprio, Elvira; Estuar, Maria Regina Justina; Teng, Timothy Robin; Boon, Law Kian; Peariasamy, Kalaiarasu M.; Chong, Zhuo Lin; Ghazali, Izzuna Mudla M.; Fox, Greg J.; Nguyen, Thu Anh; Le, Linh Vi; Abayawardana, Milinda; Shipman, David; McBryde, Emma S.; Meehan, Michael T.; Caldwell, Jamie M.; Trauer, James M. (2022) 'COVID-19 collaborative modelling for policy response in the Philippines, Malaysia and Vietnam'. The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific, 29 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Kuddus, Md Abdul; McBryde, Emma; Adekunle, Adeshina; Meehan, Michael (2022) 'Analysis and simulation of a two-strain disease model with nonlinear incidence'. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 155 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Ogunlade, Samson T.; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; McBryde, Emma S.; Meehan, Michael T. (2022) 'Modelling the ecological dynamics of mosquito populations with multiple co-circulating Wolbachia strains'. Scientific Reports, 12 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Wong, Yide; Meehan, Michael; Burrows, Scott; Doolan, Denise; Miles, John (2022) 'Estimating the global burden of Epstein–Barr virus‑related cancers'. Journal of Cancer Research and Clinical Oncology, 148 :31-46. [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Kuddus, Md Abdul; McBryde, Emma S.; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; White, Lisa J.; Meehan, Michael T. (2022) 'Mathematical analysis of a two-strain tuberculosis model in Bangladesh'. Scientific Reports, 12 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Caldwell, Jamie M.; Le, Xuan; McIntosh, Lorin; Meehan, Michael T.; Ogunlade, Samson; Ragonnet, Romain; O'Neill, Genevieve K.; Trauer, Tom; McBryde, Emma S. (2021) 'Vaccines and variants: modelling insights into emerging issues in COVID-19 epidemiology'. Paediatric Respiratory Reviews, 39 :32-39. [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Singh, Tejas P.; Moxon, Joseph V.; Meehan, Michael T.; Jones, Rhondda; Cadet-James, Yvonne; Golledge, Jonathan (2021) 'Major amputation rates and outcomes for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander and non-Indigenous people in North Queensland Australia between 2000 and 2015'. BMC Endocrine Disorders, 21 (1). [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Trauer, James M.; Lydeamore, Michael J.; Dalton, Gregory W.; Pilcher, David; Meehan, Michael T.; McBryde, Emma S.; Cheng, Allen C.; Sutton, Brett; Ragonnet, Romain (2021) 'Understanding how Victoria, Australia gained control of its second COVID-19 wave'. Nature Communications, 12 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Jayasundara, Pavithra; Peariasamy, Kalaiarasu M.; Law, Kian Boon; Abd Rahim, Ku Nurhasni Ku; Lee, Sit Wai; Ghazali, Izzuna Mudla M.; Abayawardana, Milinda; Linh-Vi, Le; Khalaf, Rukun K. S.; Razali, Karina; Le, Xuan; Chong, Zhuo Lin; McBryde, Emma S.; Meehan, Michael T.; Caldwell, Jamie M.; Ragonnet, Romain; Trauer, James M. (2021) 'Sustaining effective COVID-19 control in Malaysia through large-scale vaccination'. Epidemics, 37 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Ogunlade, Samson; Meehan, Michael; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; Rojas Alvarez, Diana P.; Adegboye, Oyelola A.; McBryde, Emma S. (2021) 'A review: Aedes-borne arboviral infections, controls and Wolbachia-based strategies'. Vaccines, 9 (1). [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Kuddus, Md Abdul; McBryde, Emma S.; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; White, Lisa J.; Meehan, Michael T. (2021) 'Mathematical analysis of a two-strain disease model with amplification'. Chaos Solitons and Fractals, 143 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    McBryde, Emma; Meehan, Michael T.; Caldwell, Jamie M.; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; Ogunlade, Samson T.; Kuddus, Md Abdul; Ragonnet, Romain; Jayasundara, Pavithra; Trauer, James M.; Cope, Robert C. (2021) 'Modelling direct and herd protection effects of vaccination against the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Australia'. Medical Journal of Australia, 215 (9):427-432. [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Kuddus, Md Abdul; Meehan, Michael T.; Sayem, Md. Abu; McBryde, Emma S. (2021) 'Scenario analysis for programmatic tuberculosis control in Bangladesh: a mathematical modelling study'. Scientific Reports, 11 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Meehan, Michael T.; Rojas, Diana P.; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; Adegboye, Oyelola A.; Caldwell, Jamie M.; Turek, Evelyn; Williams, Bridget; Trauer, James M.; McBryde, Emma S. (2020) 'Modelling insights into the COVID-19 pandemic'. Paediatric Respiratory Reviews, 35 :64-69. [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Adekunle, Adeshina; Meehan, Michael; Rojas-Alvarez, Diana; Trauer, James; McBryde, Emma (2020) 'Delaying the COVID‐19 epidemic in Australia: evaluating the effectiveness of international travel bans'. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health, 44 (4):257-259. [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Price, David J.; Shearer, Freya M.; Meehan, Michael T.; McBryde, Emma; Moss, Robert; Golding, Nick; Conway, Eamon J.; Dawson, Peter; Cromer, Deborah; Wood, James; Abbott, Sam; McVernon, Jodie; Mccaw, James M. (2020) 'Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic'. eLife, 9 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Meehan, Michael T.; Cope, Robert C.; McBryde, Emma S. (2020) 'On the probability of strain invasion in endemic settings: accounting for individual heterogeneity and control in multi-strain dynamics'. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 487 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Kuddus, Md Abdul; Meehan, Michael T.; White, Lisa J.; McBryde, Emma S.; Adekunle, Adeshina I. (2020) 'Modeling drug-resistant tuberculosis amplification rates and intervention strategies in Bangladesh'. PLoS ONE, 15 (7). [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Ogunlade, Samson T.; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; Meehan, Michael T.; Rojas, Diana P.; McBryde, Emma S. (2020) 'Modeling the potential of wAu-Wolbachia strain invasion in mosquitoes to control Aedes-borne arboviral infections'. Scientific Reports, 10 . [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    McBryde, Emma S.; Meehan, Michael T.; Adegboye, Oyelola A.; Adekunle, Adeshina I.; Caldwell, Jamie M.; Pak, Anton; Rojas, Diana P.; Williams, Bridget M.; Trauer, James M. (2020) 'Role of modelling in COVID-19 policy development'. Paediatric Respiratory Reviews, 35 :57-60. [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Doan, Tan N.; Fox, Greg J.; Meehan, Michael T.; Scott, Nick; Ragonnet, Romain; Viney, Kerri; Trauer, James M.; McBryde, Emma S. (2019) 'Cost-effectiveness of 3 months of weekly rifapentine and isoniazid compared with other standard treatment regimens for latent tuberculosis infection: a decision analysis study'. Journal of Antimicrobial Chemotherapy, 74 (1):218-227. [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Meehan, Michael T.; Cocks, Daniel G.; Mueller, Johannes; McBryde, Emma S. (2019) 'Global stability properties of a class of renewal epidemic models'. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 78 (6):1713-1725. [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Adekunle, Adeshina I.; Meehan, Michael T.; McBryde, Emma S. (2019) 'Mathematical analysis of a Wolbachia invasive model with imperfect maternal transmission and loss of Wolbachia infection'. Infectious Disease Modelling, 4 :265-285. [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Meehan, Michael T.; Cocks, Daniel G.; Trauer, James M.; McBryde, Emma S. (2018) 'Coupled, multi-strain epidemic models of mutating pathogens'. Mathematical Biosciences, 296 :82-92. [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Ragonnet, Romain; Trauer, James M.; Scott, Nick; Meehan, Michael T.; McBryde, Emma S. (2017) 'Optimally capturing latency dynamics in models of tuberculosis transmission'. Epidemics, 21 :39-47. [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    McBryde, Emma S.; Meehan, Michael T.; Doan, Tan N.; Ragonnet, Romain; Marais, Ben J.; Guernier, Vanina; Trauer, James M. (2017) 'The risk of global epidemic replacement with drug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains'. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 56 :14-20. [DOI]
    Journal Publication Open Access ResearchOnline@JCU
    Meehan, Michael T.; Whittingham, Ian B. (2015) 'Dark matter relic density in scalar-tensor gravity revisited '. Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics, 2015 (12):1-28. [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Meehan, Michael T.; Whittingham, Ian B. (2014) 'Asymmetric dark matter in braneworld cosmology'. Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics, 2014 (6):1-18. [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU
    Meehan, Michael T.; Whittingham, Ian B. (2014) 'Dark matter relic density in Gauss-Bonnet braneworld cosmology'. Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics, 2014 (12):1-18. [DOI]
    Journal Publication ResearchOnline@JCU